Is Mexico Safe?

If you've thought about traveling through Mexico or moving there as an expat, then you have likely reached the question: Is Mexico safe? It's a fair question - and in 2026, it deserves an honest, nuanced answer. The sights, the food, the rich culture, and the welcoming people make Mexico one of the most rewarding places in the world to live and travel. But the security landscape has shifted dramatically, and the events of February 2026 have made it more important than ever to understand what's really going on before you go.

Safety in Mexico

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

A lot of our staff live in Mexico. We know what daily life is like for expats and travelers that come to this country to start a new life. We have a wealth of lived experience to share and this is also our take on Mexico. We encourage you to do the research, therefore we have put links (wherever you see an orange text, which often says "click here") to connect you to valuable information. Click on them to learn more because knowledge and preparation is key to understanding how to travel through Mexico.

It is the opinion of Expat Insurance that Mexico is far safer than many people abroad have heard it to be. Yes, you can live and travel here safely, but you have to exercise more caution than in developed nations.

However, we also feel that many local expats do not properly portray what the crime rates are actually like - and many are in denial about the reality of crime in Mexico. Saying Mexico is just as safe as a country like the United States is simply a false statement based on published crime rates alone.

This article is mostly about crime, we are not talking about the many great aspects of Mexico, which there are many. We realize many of these topics and tips could be used for other more developed countries as well. If you would like to debate any of our points, you can do so on our Facebook post (click here) or comment below.

The El Mencho Crisis - What Happened on February 22, 2026

Is Mexico Safe? - The El Mencho Crisis

On Sunday, February 22, 2026, the Mexican military killed Nemesio Ruben Oseguera Cervantes, known as "El Mencho", the leader of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG), during a military operation in Tapalpa, Jalisco - a mountain town roughly two hours southwest of Guadalajara. The operation involved the Army, National Guard, Air Force, and the Attorney General's Office. According to the White House, U.S. agencies provided intelligence support through the Joint Interagency Task Force-Counter Cartel. El Mencho was wounded during a firefight and died while being airlifted to Mexico City. Seven CJNG members were killed, two arrested, and authorities seized armored vehicles, rocket launchers, and heavy weapons.

El Mencho had carried a $15 million U.S. bounty - the highest ever offered for a Mexican drug lord. His cartel, the CJNG, had been designated a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by the Trump administration in February 2025 - a designation that changed the legal language around cartel activity in Mexico from "crime" to "terrorism."

– What Happened After El Mencho Was Killed

The cartel's response was immediate and devastating. CJNG operatives set up 252 road blockades across 20 Mexican states using burning vehicles, buses, and trucks. At least 14 people were killed in the aftermath, including seven National Guard troops (some reports cite as many as 25 National Guard killed). In Guadalajara, Mexico's second-largest city, armed men torched gas stations, banks, and a Costco. Public transportation was suspended. Schools were canceled. The governor activated "Code Red" - the highest security alert.

In Puerto Vallarta - which hosted 1.23 million U.S. tourists in 2025 - all international flights were canceled, all taxi and rideshare services were suspended, and tourists were advised to shelter in place. Multiple visitors described chaotic scenes as blockades disrupted transportation across the city. For firsthand accounts, NBC News published extensive coverage of the events.

The violence extended far beyond Jalisco. Blockades and incidents were reported in Michoacan, Guanajuato, Colima, Nayarit, Tamaulipas, Baja California, Quintana Roo, Guerrero, Sinaloa, Queretaro, Zacatecas, Puebla, and more. The U.S. Embassy issued three escalating shelter-in-place orders in a single day, ultimately covering Americans in 16 or more states.

By Monday morning, President Claudia Sheinbaum said the country was "calm" with blockades cleared. But security analysts warn the worst may be ahead. No clear successor has been identified, and most of his key family members are in U.S. or Mexican custody. Without a clear succession plan, analysts warn that CJNG could fragment - triggering a power struggle that could rival or even surpass the ongoing Sinaloa Cartel civil war.

Two Cartels Fracturing at Once - An Unprecedented Crisis

Is Mexico Safe? - Cartel Landscape in 2026

The El Mencho killing arrives against the backdrop of Mexico's other major cartel crisis. In July 2024, one of El Chapo's sons kidnapped Sinaloa Cartel co-founder Ismael "El Mayo" Zambada and flew him into U.S. custody - an act of betrayal that triggered a full-scale civil war between the Los Chapitos faction (El Chapo's remaining sons) and La Mayiza (loyal to the Zambada family). This conflict has caused a significant spike in violence across Sinaloa, with over 1,200 homicides recorded in the state during 2025.

The two cartels have formed shifting alliances and counter-alliances, creating an increasingly unstable security landscape. Mexico's Secretary of Defense has stated that the Sinaloa Cartel has lost control of the majority of trafficking routes it once dominated. Now, with El Mencho dead, analysts fear both organizations could simultaneously fragment.

– Why This Matters for Travelers and Expats

CJNG had established a presence in all 32 Mexican states - a first in Mexican cartel history - with significant operations extending internationally. The cartel's military capabilities have been well-documented and include heavy weaponry and advanced tactics. The cartel's core strongholds were Jalisco, Nayarit, and Colima, with major operations in Guanajuato (battling the Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel over fuel theft), Michoacan (fighting La Familia Michoacana), and throughout central Mexico.

The critical question now is what happens when two of the world's most powerful criminal organizations fracture simultaneously. If CJNG splinters into competing factions while the Sinaloa civil war rages on, security analysts warn that Mexico could face its most dangerous period in decades. The coming months will tell.

Tips for Staying Safe in Mexico

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

1: We know this is kind of common sense, but avoid the drug trade as much as possible. Most of the crime is centered around characters that are involved with the black market. Even purchasing more harmless recreational drugs will put you in association with people that you do not want to be involved with.

2: When you are intoxicated, you are at a higher risk of being taken advantage of. Try to be more aware of your surroundings. If you are staying out late, take a taxi home when you can.

3: Avoid driving late at night, especially on routes out in the countryside. Many carjackings and other forms of robbery happen just outside of towns. For more tips on driving safely in Mexico, check out our guide to driving in Mexico.

4: Stay active in your local community to understand when there are increases in crime, what the latest scams are, and how to avoid these specific areas and criminals.

5: Do not open your door for strangers, if you are not expecting guests sometimes people will rush in through the door once you open it.

6: Do not flaunt your wealth and avoid talking about it. It will paint a target on your back for kidnappings and gangs to rob you.

7: Avoid disreputable establishments, many of which are the only establishments that stay open until the early hours of the morning. These are hotspots for crime. It is far better to call it an early night than to continue to party while drawing attention to yourself.

8: Always remember that as an expat or tourist in Mexico, you have a target on your back. People bank on your naivety and complacency to make a quick score. Don't fall for the trap for simple scams.

9: When you do travel between cities on road trips, try to use only toll roads, and avoid the free roads called "La Libre" as much as possible.

10: Have a contingency plan. Know where your nearest embassy or consulate is. Have emergency contacts saved. Keep copies of important documents separate from originals. Be aware of what your embassy can and cannot do in an emergency.

11: Monitor current events. The events of February 2026 proved that a destination can go from "safe" to "crisis zone" within hours. Follow your embassy's alerts and local news sources.

12: Consider comprehensive insurance. Expat insurance and travel insurance can provide critical support during medical emergencies, evacuations, and other crises. For more on how healthcare works in the region, check out our article on healthcare in Mexico and Belize.

Traveling Alone in Mexico

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

When you are traveling alone in Mexico, then you should recognize that you are more vulnerable to crime - especially if you don't know the language. Nevertheless, solo travel through Mexico can be an amazing experience filled with fantastic new places to explore. You can meet some wonderful and welcoming people throughout Mexico. If you can't find a travel buddy, this shouldn't stop you from experiencing the lovely sights, incredible food, and wonderful people. Here are some tips if you're trying to travel alone:

– Tips for Traveling Alone in Mexico

One of the best ways to stay safe in Mexico is to make friends with fellow travelers. You can meet fellow travelers easily by staying in hostels instead of hotels. Many hostels have private rooms if you prefer privacy instead of staying in dorms, and the culture in hostels is very conducive to meeting people abroad. However, hostels typically - though not always - draw a younger crowd.

If you are not into staying in backpacker hostels, then Meet Ups are another great way to meet people abroad. Simply log into meetup.com and meet people as a way of experiencing a night on the town with other people so that you aren't doing it alone. Chat with them first to make sure that they are okay. These are popular with the 20-or-30-something crowd. If you are not into meeting random people online, you can try and book a guided tour to experience the sights with other people safely. Many hotels can book trusted tours for you.

Learn some Spanish. Even a rudimentary understanding can help you stay safe, call for help, and avoid potentially dangerous situations. You might also find yourself having a better experience.

Similarly, try to blend in. An "I <3 Cancun" shirt is only going to advertise that you are a tourist. Keep your camera in your bag, not around your neck. This only invites people who prey on tourists to scam you.

– Traveling Alone as a Female in Mexico

Sexual assaults and robbery do happen in Mexico. It is always best to stay cautious when you are traveling through Mexico as a solo female. Here are some tips to help you stay safe in Mexico as a solo female:

Try to band with other women. Go out with them as much as possible so that you are not out on the town alone. You can also meet other women on expat forums and Facebook groups and ask them for their advice about Mexico. Get advice from women in your area as to how they stay safe in the area where you will be living or traveling. In short, women should stick together.

If you go out to have drinks for a fun night on the town, also make sure that you don't have so many drinks as to lose awareness of your surroundings. Buy your own drinks, and do not let them out of your sight. When you go home, call a ride application like Uber. Don't try and walk home - especially when you've had some drinks.

Be aware of your surroundings. Make sure that you know how to get home in case of an emergency. Buy a SIM card if you have an unblocked phone that will enable you to make calls and look up information on the internet. Be prepared. If you do get lost, try and look confident until you can find somewhere safe.

Do not give anyone your personal information, such as where you are staying, your address, or where you plan to be. Just keep conversations light and friendly, and you will likely attract similar attention.

*For more tips on how to travel through Mexico as a solo female, click here.

Dangers in Mexico

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

There are many dangers in Mexico. It is our belief that, though the odds of encountering these dangerous scenarios are low, knowledge and awareness are important in preventing potentially disastrous scenarios so that you can best avoid them.

– Political Violence in Mexico

Nonviolent protests (known as manifestaciones in Spanish) can become violent and even turn into riots in Mexico. There have been increases in political violence in Mexico City and Guerrero over the years. Since July 2025, anti-gentrification protests targeting foreigners have occurred in central tourist areas of Mexico City - a new social dynamic worth monitoring. Just avoid all political marches to ensure your safety.

– Gang Wars in Mexico

Gang wars in Mexico usually break out over control of drug trafficking routes and control over resources like the illegal gasoline trade. In 2026, Mexico faces an unprecedented situation with two major cartels - CJNG and the Sinaloa Cartel - fracturing simultaneously (see our sections above on the El Mencho crisis and the dual cartel fracture for full details). It is dangerous to travel outside of cities. It is recommended that you avoid traveling between cities on highways in northern states and the Baja California peninsula - especially at night time.

– Illegal Roadblocks in Mexico

Throughout Mexico, one common danger is illegal roadblocks set up by gangs. They will stop all the traffic and systematically rob all incoming traffic (robbery is the bare minimum though Mexican lore is littered with tales of far worse). During the El Mencho crisis on February 22, 2026, CJNG operatives set up 252 road blockades across 20 states using burning vehicles, buses, and trucks - demonstrating how quickly and widely this tactic can be deployed. The following states have historically been known for illegal roadblocks, however they have occurred elsewhere:

• Tabasco
  

• Veracruz
  

• Guerrero
  

• Oaxaca
  

• Chiapas
  

• Jalisco (especially during the February 2026 crisis)
  

• Michoacan
  

• Guanajuato
  

Typically toll highways are safer than the free highways (La Libre) so always take the patrolled toll highways. Don't ever drive at night. Public transportation like buses are generally safer than private vehicles (though they can take far longer because of stops). If you feel that you must drive yourself, it is best to not drive expensive, luxury cars. Drive a basic rental car - preferably with Mexican plates. Typically, camper vans and RVs have been targeted for carjacking.

– Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) in Mexico

A dangerous new escalation in Mexico's security landscape is the deployment of improvised explosive devices (IEDs) by cartels, particularly in Tamaulipas and border regions. In February 2025, a Texas rancher was killed by an IED on his own property near the border. CJNG's military capabilities have expanded to include explosive-laden drones, and the deployment of these weapons doubled during 2024. This is an alarming development that represents a shift toward more indiscriminate violence.

– Terrorist Bombings in Mexico

In Playa del Carmen, Quintana Roo, a gang war broke out after the shooting at the Blue Parrot in January of 2017 at Playa during the music festival BPM (the festival has since moved to Portugal). During this gang war, narco gangs detonated a terrorist bomb on the ferry between Playa del Carmen and Cozumel in February, 21st, 2018. 20 people were injured including tourists. Nine days later another device was found on the same route.

Since that time, this route is heavily patrolled and has become safe. However, the best way to stay safe is to stay vigilant, heed all warnings from local authorities, and your tour guide if you have one.

– Violent Crime in Mexico

Violent crime is prevalent throughout Mexico, though it is typically infighting between criminal organizations. In recent years, however, several high-profile incidents have involved foreign tourists and expats (see our section below on recent incidents involving foreigners). The best way to stay safe in the face of violent crime is to research your destination ahead of time. Stick to tourist areas as much as possible. Stay tuned to the local media and avoid any dangerous areas. Inform family members of your travel plans as well. If you are the victim of a violent crime, you must report it in person to the Mexican authorities at Agencia del Ministerio Publico for the Mexican authorities to investigate the crime.

– Public Transportation Crime in Mexico

You must be very alert if you are traveling on public transportation - especially if you are traveling alone. If you are riding buses, try and ride first-class direct buses which have lower incidents of crime. They also record every passenger on every bus - which inhibits crime. Our preferred bus companies are Primera Plus, ETN, ADO, Estrella de Oro, and Pullman de Morelos.

If you are on the metro (subway), then keep an eye on your possessions at all times. Expat Insurance recommends using ride apps when possible (more on this below) as a safer and more convenient alternative - especially during late night and early morning hours when incidents of theft and harassment are more common.

– Being Drugged in Mexico

Roofies in Mexico are an issue. Never leave your drink unattended in restaurants and bars. People have been drugged and then robbed or sexually assaulted. If you feel unwell, immediately call or find local authorities or seek medical attention. This applies to both men and women. Cartel-backed networks are now exploiting dating apps to lure foreign targets in Tulum and Playa del Carmen for kidnapping and extortion - so if someone you matched with online seems too eager to meet in a secluded location, trust your instincts.

– Being Kidnapped in Mexico

Most kidnappings in Mexico are short term kidnappings called "express kidnappings", which occur especially in urban areas. Express kidnapping - where taxi drivers or accomplices force victims to withdraw cash from ATMs - now accounts for 66% of all kidnappings in Mexico, and targeting has expanded beyond business elites to anyone perceived as a middle-class foreigner. However, long-term kidnappings do occur. It is best to avoid inviting people to your home that you do not know well. Also, do not discuss your business and finances to anyone outside of a corporate setting - especially with people you do not know.

*For more information on crime in Mexico and how to prevent it, click here.

Recent Incidents Involving Tourists and Expats (2024-2025)

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

Multiple high-profile incidents involving foreigners in 2024-2025 illustrate the persistent risks that travelers face in Mexico. While tourists are still rarely the direct targets of cartel violence, these incidents show that collateral damage and opportunistic crime remain very real dangers:

– Violent Incidents Against Foreigners

In May 2024, Australian brothers Jake and Callum Robinson and their American friend Jack Carter Rhoad were shot and killed near Ensenada, Baja California - reportedly by thieves who wanted their truck's tires. In October 2024, a U.S. Marine veteran was killed at a Sinaloa cartel checkpoint in Sonora while driving to a beach. In February 2025, an 80-year-old American from Lake Tahoe was abducted and killed in Baja California Sur during a camping trip. In January 2025, an American family was ambushed in Durango, with two men killed and a 14-year-old boy surviving.

In one of the more alarming incidents, an Aeromexico plane at Culiacan airport was hit by gunfire while on the ground - a stark illustration of how cartel violence can reach areas that should be secure.

– Cartel-Operated Fraud Targeting Foreigners

CJNG now operates a timeshare fraud network in Puerto Vallarta specifically targeting older Americans, defrauding victims of their life savings through fake resale and exit scams. The U.S. Treasury sanctioned this network in November 2025. If anyone contacts you about your timeshare unsolicited, be extremely cautious (see our timeshare scam section below for more details).

Cartels in Tamaulipas are increasingly deploying improvised explosive devices (IEDs), a dangerous escalation that killed a Texas rancher on his own property near the border in February 2025.

Scams in Mexico and How to Avoid Them

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

– Taxi Scams in Mexico

One of the most common scams in Mexico is taxi scams. You will get into a taxi and they will overcharge you, or they will drive with faulty meters that go up at phenomenal rates, or they will charge you outlandish prices for a short ride. . . etc. The worst is that they will even kidnap you and take you to an ATM where they demand that you take out all your money. This happened to my uncle. It does happen. As mentioned above, express kidnapping now accounts for 66% of all kidnappings in Mexico and has expanded beyond business targets to any foreigner perceived as middle class.

– Taking Safe Taxis in Mexico

Grabbing a taxi with a meter from the street can be one of the most economical ways of getting around, but don't be tempted by the cheap prices. Growing up, my grandmother always told me, "Grab the taxis from inside the establishment". If it's a hotel, have them call you a cab. If it's a bus station or airport, grab the expensive taxis at the taxi stands inside the facility before you exit security. These can often be hundreds of pesos more expensive, but they are safe, each taxi is registered by the state, and their number is recorded with each passenger.

– Using Ride Share Apps like Uber in Mexico

In several parts of Mexico, getting taxi advice is moot because of ride-sharing apps like Uber and the relative newcomer: Didi. (However in some parts of Mexico like the Riviera Maya, Uber is not available - so be sure to know how to find safe taxis). Uber is by far the top dog in the game, therefore it becomes the easiest to find a ride at 2 am using Uber. Click here for an article on other ride-sharing apps in Mexico.

Another newcomer is a different sort of ride sharing app. It's more of a carpooling application known around the world called BlaBlaCar. It is quite safe in other countries, though we will have to see how it manifests itself in Mexico. This application is made for people to carpool between cities and go long distances while sharing expenses equally like food and gas.

It is worth noting that U.S. government employees are now required to use app-based transportation exclusively in Mexico - they cannot hail street taxis anywhere in the country. That tells you something about how seriously the embassy takes taxi safety.

*For more information on taxi scams and how to beat them in Mexico, click here.

– Credit Card Scams in Mexico

Though credit card theft and cloning is as old as the Automatic Teller Machine, the times have evolved to create new and more pernicious forms of credit card theft. The traditional scam has always been fake credit card machines. These ATM machines are unaffiliated with a bank - instead, they look like a small privatized machine, perhaps outside a random mom-and-pop store. These machines will be rigged to swallow your card and/or steal the credit or debit card information.

Always be sure to grab an ATM inside of the bank, grocery store, or mall - anywhere that would have official, big bank ATMs in populated locations. Be aware though that people can target you for robbery when you take out money if there are too many people immediately around you.

However, there are other forms of credit card theft. Some people install scanners at the safe ATM in banks and tourist areas. These lay over the bank scanner and you would never know that your number is being taken while you withdraw cash. We highly recommend that you click here to watch this short video on ATM scanners, and how to check for them.

A second way to get your credit card number is by having someone walk by you and scan your card with a portable scanner. Thieves can use portable scanners - or even legal apps on their phones that are made for contactless payment between friends - to get your credit card numbers. Known as RFID identity theft, this can be problematic because it only takes someone walking by you a few seconds to scan your card. The best way to combat these thieves is to buy an RFID-blocking wallet, RFID-blocking card holder, or best yet an RFID-blocking travel belt that can also help you prevent pickpocketing by strapping to your chest (but we'll get to that in a bit).

Another way of getting your credit card number is by paying your tab at a bar or restaurant. A common scam is that the establishment will take your card, and while they are charging you in the back of the establishment, they will also get your card numbers to clone your card later. Many restaurants now use wireless card readers so that they can run your card in front of you through a small, handheld apparatus. Ask if the establishment has one so that they can run the card in front of you at the table.

If the establishment cannot, then accompany the service person to watch them as they run your card. This might seem a bit odd, but it can be done nonchalantly. The best way to do this is to not pull out your card until you see the card reader. If it's at the bar or counter, stand up and walk with the waiter or waitress to the bar or counter and then pull out your card.

– Pickpocketing in Mexico

Pickpocketing is a threat in crowded, urban areas - like in any major city across the world. The most common places to get pickpocketed are places like the metro, crowded markets, or busy streets in any major Mexican city. It is no longer just one person that comes up and distracts you. Now teams of people will work to pickpocket you, where one distracts you, another grabs your goods, and hands it off to a third person. Even more elaborate tricks are played, and these people are professionals.

One of the best ways to combat pickpocketing is with a travel belt. This way, you keep all your valuables like your passport and credit cards strapped to your chest underneath your shirt or dress. Oftentimes this is used in conjunction with a beater wallet that has nothing but a bit of cash and your Subway free sandwich card. This way, if you do get pickpocketed, they will grab your beater wallet as a misdirection and completely miss the travel belt.

If you are ever confronted by a thief, prioritize your personal safety above all else. Comply with demands and do not resist - no possession is worth risking your safety. Keeping a secondary wallet with a small amount of cash can help you hand something over quickly and de-escalate the situation.

Sometimes people will ask to use your phone, and when they have your phone in their hand, they will take off running. It's best to not lend anyone your phone. If you really feel you should, be sure you're in a crowded establishment like a restaurant. Don't let them walk outside to make their phone call. In Mexico City, phone snatching by motorcycle thieves (known as "moto-ladrones") has become an especially common problem - be aware of your phone when walking near streets.

– Virtual Kidnapping Scams in Mexico

One of the more popular scams in Mexico is the virtual kidnapping scam. People will get your personal information, including the names of loved ones, where they work, their addresses, their phone numbers. . . etc. Then they will call you and tell you that your loved one has been kidnapped. Be warned that these are convincing scams - even with Mexican nationals - because people do occasionally get kidnapped in Mexico. They will tell you to get funds immediately and deposit them into a random account at an OXXO or some other convenient stores. These scams bank on you to panic. Just hang up.

– Timeshare Scams in Mexico

Timeshare scams run rampant across Mexico's lovely beaches. Many timeshare scams involve getting a free breakfast and then getting roped into a lengthy presentation. Sometimes they will even offer you money to attend these presentations. These people bank on the talent of their sales staff, and many of these salesmen and women are absolute sharks. Expat Insurance recommends never going to any presentation in Mexico, and if someone says that you won a free breakfast or something it is likely a timeshare scam. Do not collect any reward for a contest that you have not entered, and don't give any random people your contact information.

I have known people who have worked for timeshare companies. The truth is that renting a timeshare is not the best deal, however, it might be right for some people. There are some reputable companies that offer timeshares, and in some cases, it could work for a family depending on their particular situation. This is something that should not be purchased on a whim, and it must be conducted with the supervision of a financial advisor and a lawyer after weeks - if not months - of research.

However, we strongly advise against purchasing a timeshare in Mexico. Scammers will dazzle you with outlandish figures of how much money you could be making by buying a timeshare and renting it out to other people. These are scams that will rob you out of your entire life savings. Your timeshare will never get rented out, and you will have practically no rights over the timeshare property that you purchased.

In fact, the timeshare situation has gotten even more dangerous since we originally wrote this article. CJNG now operates a cartel-backed timeshare fraud network in Puerto Vallarta that specifically targets older Americans. These operations call victims offering to help them sell or exit existing timeshares, then defraud them of their life savings through elaborate scams involving fake government agencies and fraudulent legal proceedings. The U.S. Treasury sanctioned this network in November 2025 - that's how serious this has become. If anyone contacts you about your timeshare unsolicited - especially if they claim to be from a government agency or legal firm - hang up immediately.

– Dating App Scams in Mexico

This is a newer threat that specifically targets foreign tourists and expats. Cartel-backed networks are now using dating apps to lure foreign targets in popular tourist areas like Tulum and Playa del Carmen. Victims are kidnapped and extorted. If a match seems too good to be true, or is overly eager to meet in a private or secluded location, exercise extreme caution. Meet in public places, tell someone where you are going, and trust your instincts.

*There are other scams out there in Mexico, and many of these are simple, relatively-benign scams, such as buying overpriced souvenirs, getting counterfeit money in exchange, and purchasing watered down drinks at a bar. To learn more about these scams, click here.

What Are the Facts About Safety in Mexico

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

In the years since we first wrote this article, the security situation in Mexico has gone through dramatic swings. While the overall trend in 2025 was actually positive - with homicides declining to their lowest level in a decade - the events of February 2026 have thrown that progress into serious question. Here are the facts:

– Murder Rates in Mexico - The Current Numbers

Mexico recorded 23,374 homicides in 2025 - a 30.2% decline from 2024 and the lowest rate in a decade. The national murder rate dropped to 17.5 per 100,000, down from a peak of 29 per 100,000 in 2018. Several states saw dramatic improvements: Quintana Roo saw homicides fall 56.8%, Zacatecas dropped 71.1%, and Chiapas declined 58.6%.

For historical context, murder rates were up 16% in 2018, the highest they had ever been at the time. There were 33,341 murders reported in 2018, compared to the roughly 29,000 reported in 2017 (which also set the standing record at that time). Mexico only began to record the murder rate in 1997.

However, these declining numbers come with serious caveats. Security analyst David Saucedo has warned that declining murder rates may actually reflect criminal groups having "consolidated control" over their territories rather than genuine safety improvements - fewer turf wars simply mean one cartel won. Independent watchdog Mexico Evalua notes that local police often artificially lower figures through delayed reporting, and criminal organizations frequently disappear victims' bodies. According to the Comision Nacional de Derechos Humanos or CNDH (the Mexican branch of the UN's International Coordinating Committee of NHRIs), they estimate that only 1 in 10 crimes (not murders but overall crimes) are reported to the Mexican authorities. This is largely due to a general climate of distrust of the authorities. It is also estimated that only 1 in 100 crimes goes to sentencing. Mexico's official missing persons count now exceeds 133,000.

Several states bucked the positive trend entirely:

State	2025 Homicides	Trend	Notes
Guanajuato	2,539	Highest in Mexico	CJNG vs Santa Rosa de Lima fuel war
Sinaloa	1,209+	Surging	Civil war between Los Chapitos and La Mayiza
Baja California Sur	Increased	Rising	Cartel activity in previously safe areas
Nayarit	Increased	Rising	CJNG stronghold territory
Tabasco	Increased	Rising	Emerging trafficking corridor

The economic toll of violence is staggering. Violence costs Mexico an estimated $232 billion annually - roughly 18.3% of GDP. A 2024 American Chamber of Commerce survey found that 1 in 8 member companies reported organized crime had taken partial control of sales, distribution, or pricing of their goods.

– Why Are the Murder Rates So High in Mexico

The main reason for the persistently high murder rates in Mexico is gang violence over control of drug trafficking routes and other illicit markets like the illegal gasoline trade, human trafficking, and extortion. In 2026, the situation is compounded by the simultaneous fracturing of the two most powerful cartels - CJNG and the Sinaloa Cartel.

Murder rates are calculated internationally per 100,000 citizens of any particular nation or city. Here is a look at the murder rates and safety situations in specific areas that many expats and tourists visit:

Riviera Maya (Quintana Roo): Accounting for almost half of all the tourist income in Mexico, Quintana Roo (home to tourist hotbeds like Cancun, Tulum, Playa del Carmen, and Cozumel) has seen homicides decline significantly in 2025 (down 56.8%). However, drug smuggling routes remain heavily contested, and Quintana Roo is still among Mexico's 10 least peaceful states. Tulum now ranks as the 20th most violent municipality in Mexico with 83.9 homicides per 100,000. The Hotel Zone in Cancun remains one of Mexico's most securitized environments with dedicated tourist police, but venture too far outside of it and the risk increases significantly. Cartel turf battles between CJNG, Sinaloa factions, the Gulf Cartel, and even Russian and Cuban criminal organizations are ongoing in the state's suburbs and rural areas.

Guerrero: A state which has almost lost all of its international tourism except to secluded beaches like Troncones and Pueblos Magicos like Taxco de Alarcon. The once-lucrative poppy fields - which are used in heroin production - fueled the crime in Guerrero. Cheaper options like fentanyl reduced some of the competition over the years. Still, cities like Acapulco remain extremely dangerous and should be avoided. Guerrero is a Level 4 "Do Not Travel" state.

San Miguel de Allende (Guanajuato): The colonial city center remains walkable, charming, and relatively safe, with zero kidnappings reported in 2023-2024 and a homicide rate of roughly 3-5 per 100,000 in the city proper. It was voted as the best place to live in Latin America and Mexico's #1 city at the Travel and Leisure Awards. However, Guanajuato state led all of Mexico in total homicides with 2,539 in 2025. The broader municipality recorded 88 homicides in the past year (49.3 per 100,000). The CJNG vs. Santa Rosa de Lima turf war devastates cities like Celaya, Salamanca, and Irapuato - all within driving distance. The El Mencho power vacuum could intensify this competition. The U.S. State Department advises against travel on or south of Highway 45D in Guanajuato.

Colima: One of Mexico's smallest states has long been Mexico's most dangerous state. Despite being a state with one of the highest standards of living and lowest unemployment, Colima has the world's highest homicide rate. It is a Level 4 "Do Not Travel" state and a core CJNG stronghold. Following the El Mencho killing, the security situation in Colima is expected to deteriorate further as cartel factions compete for control.

Tijuana, Baja California: This border town continues to see high levels of violence. The city saw over 2,000 murders in 2018 alone, and while rates have fluctuated since, Tijuana remains one of the most dangerous cities in the Western Hemisphere. The Sinaloa and Jalisco drug cartels continue fighting over smuggling routes in Baja California, which is rated a Level 3 "Reconsider Travel" state.

Los Cabos and La Paz: After being one of the world's most dangerous cities per capita in 2017-2018, Los Cabos has staged a remarkable recovery. Crime hit its lowest level in a decade in 2024. The region is geographically isolated from mainland unrest (600 miles from Jalisco), and travel industry sources confirmed it was completely unaffected during the El Mencho crisis. This demonstrates that Mexico does have the efficacy to reduce murder in troubled areas when they allocate the resources to do so. Occasional cartel incidents still occur - narco-banners threatened Americans in October 2025 - but tourist zones are heavily policed.

Cuernavaca, Morelos: Another city with a troubled past (and home to the author of this piece) - which was at one point Mexico's most dangerous city - has seen its security situation fluctuate. Morelos is a Level 3 "Reconsider Travel" state. Extortion remains a significant problem - in the past, nightclubs were shot up and firebombed for failing to pay extortion money. Exercise caution if visiting.

Puerto Vallarta (Jalisco): What was long considered one of Mexico's safest tourist cities experienced a catastrophic security breakdown on February 22, 2026. All international flights were canceled, streets were deserted, and tourists were stranded in hotels. Before the crisis, PV had a strong safety reputation - large expat community, walkable Zona Romantica, and a longstanding assumption that CJNG avoided disrupting tourism in its own backyard. That assumption was demolished. We recommend postponing all visits to Puerto Vallarta until the situation clarifies significantly.

Guadalajara (Jalisco): The El Mencho killing has turned Guadalajara into one of the most dangerous major cities in Mexico. Armed groups stormed the airport, National Guard troops were killed, and the city was placed under Code Red. Guadalajara is scheduled to host FIFA World Cup matches beginning June 18, 2026 - less than four months from now. Whether security can be restored in time is a serious international concern. For now, avoid Guadalajara.

Lake Chapala/Ajijic (Jalisco): Home to an estimated 20,000 to 30,000 American and Canadian retirees, this community is just 30 miles from Guadalajara. Long-term residents have consistently reported feeling safe, but the community now sits inside a Jalisco statewide Code Red zone. Road access from Guadalajara airport may be compromised by blockades, and the CJNG succession crisis creates medium-term uncertainty.

Merida (Yucatan): If safety is your number one concern, Merida is the place to be. It is the only major city in a Level 1 state and was ranked the 2nd safest city in the Americas by CEOWorld Magazine in 2024 (behind Quebec City). Yucatan state recorded just 33 homicides in all of 2025. The state has been ranked number one on the Mexico Peace Index for seven consecutive years, cartel presence is virtually nonexistent, and Merida was completely unaffected by the El Mencho crisis. This is unambiguously the safest major destination in Mexico.

Oaxaca City: Oaxaca City remains one of Mexico's cultural gems and a popular expat destination. It does not sit in a major cartel corridor and was not significantly affected by the El Mencho crisis. The city and surrounding valleys remain relatively safe for travelers who exercise standard precautions.

Here is a summary table of the major destinations:

Destination	US Advisory Level	2025 Safety Status	El Mencho Impact	Our Recommendation
Merida, Yucatan	Level 1	Safest in Mexico	None	Strongly Recommended
Los Cabos, BCS	Level 2	Very Safe	None	Recommended
Oaxaca City	Level 2	Safe	Minimal	Recommended
Mexico City	Level 2	Stable	Minor	Recommended with Caution
Cancun Hotel Zone	Level 2	Securitized	Minimal	Recommended with Caution
San Miguel de Allende	Level 3 (state)	City Safe, State Violent	Indirect Risk	Proceed with Caution
Tulum/Riviera Maya	Level 2	Deteriorating	Minimal	Caution Advised
Lake Chapala/Ajijic	Level 3 (state)	Previously Safe	Inside Crisis Zone	Monitor Closely
Puerto Vallarta	Level 3 (state)	Crisis	Severe	Postpone Travel
Guadalajara	Level 3 (state)	Crisis	Severe	Avoid

To see a complete map of the murder rates in Mexico by each municipality, click here.

To see a map of the crime rates in Mexico per each month, click here.

Our Take on the Murder Rates in Mexico

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

The simple fact of the matter is that these murders do not reflect the experiences of most tourists and expats in Mexico. We hear horror stories of collateral damage - mostly from the American media - but the vast majority of murders occur between gang members. It is not in the best interests of the narcos or the government to murder tourists. Believe it or not, it is quite difficult to obtain a gun in Mexico legally. The influx of guns come to Mexico by way of illegal smuggling from the United States, where it is incredibly easy to purchase a firearm.

Tourist areas are rarely targeted for homicide. If you stick to tourist areas, you will likely be fine. One of the best ways to avoid being tangled up in the rising crime rates in Mexico is to avoid dangerous situations. Don't engage in black market enterprises such as soliciting prostitution or consuming drugs. Stay in affluent areas known for their high quality of life. Always take safe transportation, and don't walk around alone late at night. Stay in groups whenever possible.

However, we at Expat Insurance must be honest: the events of February 22, 2026 proved something important. Even if you are not a direct target, you can absolutely get caught in the crossfire or become trapped in a crisis zone. The old adage that "cartels don't target tourists" is statistically true. But it offers cold comfort when you're sheltering in a hotel room unable to leave, with flights canceled and streets blocked - and that is exactly what many tourists experienced in February 2026.

Geography within Mexico matters enormously. The difference between Merida, Yucatan (33 homicides in all of 2025) and Colima (the world's highest homicide rate) is the difference between one of the safest places in the Americas and one of the most dangerous places on earth. Choose your destination wisely, have a contingency plan, and understand that conditions can change with terrifying speed.

With a vigilant eye, you will have a wonderful experience as an expat or tourist to Mexico. We know this because many of our employees at Expat Insurance have made this same choice that you are embarking upon - and we don't regret it for a second.

What Real People Are Saying - Expats and Tourists on the Ground

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

The sentiment from those on the ground is sharply divided between long-term residents who generally feel safe and the raw terror experienced by those caught in the El Mencho aftermath.

– What Long-Term Expats Say

Long-term expats generally report feeling safe in Mexico. A 20-year resident told ExpatDen that they have never had a problem with safety in Mexico and that they don't know too many American expats who live directly in a heated cartel area. A Lake Chapala expat said they feel as safe there as they did in Calgary. A Merida resident noted that before moving, many fellow Americans told them they were crazy and would be murdered within the first year - but those people had never actually visited Mexico themselves.

The common refrain from long-term residents is that cartel violence is inter-cartel, that tourists are "bad for business" and therefore not targeted, and that specific neighborhoods matter more than country-level statistics. There is a lot of truth to this perspective - but the El Mencho crisis showed its limits.

– What Tourists Experienced During the El Mencho Crisis

The El Mencho crisis shattered the narrative of safety - at least temporarily. Tourists in Puerto Vallarta described widespread disruption, with transportation shut down, flights canceled, and many visitors confined to their hotels for extended periods. Social media posts from visitors described confusion and fear as the situation unfolded rapidly.

Residents in affected states described how quickly blockades disrupted daily life - impacting transportation, healthcare access, and basic services within hours. Al Jazeera and other international outlets published detailed accounts of these disruptions.

Even amid the crisis, however, some maintained perspective. Multiple witnesses noted that the violence did not appear to specifically target tourists. This reflects a persistent pattern: even during extreme cartel violence, tourists are generally not directly targeted - but they can be trapped, terrified, and unable to leave.

The Sheinbaum Administration's Security Strategy

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

President Claudia Sheinbaum, who took office in October 2024, has quietly departed from her predecessor AMLO's "abrazos no balazos" (hugs not bullets) approach. Her Security Secretary, Omar Garcia Harfuch - himself a survivor of a 2020 CJNG assassination attempt involving grenades and rifles - has pursued an intelligence-led strategy targeting not just cartel kingpins but "violence professionals," the mid-level planners and perpetrators of civilian attacks.

The numbers under her administration have been notable: over 32,000 criminal suspects arrested, nearly 300 tonnes of drugs seized, 614 meth labs dismantled, and 18,981 firearms confiscated in her first 13 months. The mass extradition of 29 cartel leaders to the U.S. in early 2025, and the El Mencho operation itself, demonstrate unprecedented cooperation with Washington. Her approval rating sits at 85%, and public approval of security policy rose from 28% before she took office to over 50%.

But the strategy faces real contradictions. Sheinbaum herself has criticized the "kingpin strategy" of killing or capturing cartel leaders, noting that it triggers exactly the kind of explosive retaliatory violence Mexico witnessed on February 22. Her 2025 budget cut security spending by 36%. State police in half of Mexico's states earn less than minimum wage, fueling endemic corruption. And the economic cost of violence - an estimated 18.3% of GDP - cannot be addressed by law enforcement alone.

Whether the El Mencho killing proves to be a turning point toward greater safety or the beginning of a more dangerous chapter will depend on what happens in the months ahead.

Where to Avoid in Mexico

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

One of the best things that you can do to stay safe in Mexico (or any country) is to check out your country's Travel Advisory for Mexico. If you have time, check out other country's travel advisories as well. Also, be aware of what your embassy can and cannot do in an emergency, and have a plan in case of emergencies.

To see the travel advisory for Americans, click here.

To see the travel advisory for Canadians, click here.

To see the travel advisory for British citizens, click here.

In Mexico, there is little that many embassies can do in rural areas because travel to dangerous areas in Mexico is restricted with very limited access. Many government employees will not travel between cities after dark, thus it is recommended that you follow their restrictions. Therefore it is best to avoid these areas.

Notably, for the first time ever, the U.S. travel advisory for Mexico now uses the word "terrorism" alongside crime and kidnapping - a direct result of the FTO designation of CJNG and the Sinaloa Cartel. This is a significant change in language that reflects how seriously the U.S. government views the cartel threat. U.S. government employees are prohibited from traveling between cities after dark, must use app-based transportation exclusively, and cannot hail taxis.

States that the US Embassy Recommends Avoiding

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

The U.S. State Department advisory was last formally updated on August 12, 2025, though the emergency shelter-in-place orders issued on February 22, 2026 effectively represent a much higher threat level. Here is the current state-by-state breakdown:

– Level 4: Do Not Travel (6 States)

These states are considered the most dangerous in Mexico. The U.S. government strongly recommends that you do not travel to these areas:

• Colima
  

• Guerrero
  

• Michoacan
  

• Sinaloa
  

• Tamaulipas
  

• Zacatecas
  

– Level 3: Reconsider Travel (7 States)

The U.S. government recommends that you reconsider your plans to visit these states due to serious security concerns:

• Baja California
  

• Chiapas
  

• Chihuahua
  

• Guanajuato
  

• Jalisco
  

• Morelos
  

• Sonora
  

Note that Jalisco's Level 3 designation was already in place before the El Mencho crisis. Given the events of February 22, 2026, the actual risk level in Jalisco is significantly higher than Level 3 at this time.

– Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution

Most remaining states fall into this category, including several major tourist destinations:

• Mexico City
  

• Quintana Roo (Cancun, Tulum, Playa del Carmen)
  

• Baja California Sur (Los Cabos)
  

• Nuevo Leon (Monterrey)
  

• Oaxaca
  

• Nayarit
  

• Puebla
  

• Queretaro
  

• And several others
  

– Level 1: Exercise Normal Precautions (2 States)

Only two states in all of Mexico receive the lowest risk designation:

• Campeche
  

• Yucatan
  

As you may have noticed, there is no state in Mexico that does not have some level of warning issued by the United States government.

For more information on the exact warnings for each location that is up to date, click here.

States that the Canadian Embassy Recommends Avoiding

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

Canada rates Mexico overall as "Exercise a high degree of caution" and advises against non-essential travel to 14 states. On February 22, 2026, Canada specifically warned citizens in Puerto Vallarta to shelter in place and updated its Jalisco advisory. Canada has also created a dedicated FIFA World Cup 2026 advisory page covering the host cities of Guadalajara, Mexico City, and Monterrey.

The Canadian Embassy recommends avoiding these states unless travel is absolutely necessary:

• Chihuahua
  

• Coahuila*
  

• Colima**
  

• Durango
  

• Guerrero***
  

• Jalisco
  

• Michoacan
  

• Nuevo Leon****
  

• Sinaloa*****
  

• Sonora******
  

• Tamaulipas
  

• Zacatecas
  

• Chiapas
  

1: (excluding Saltillo which is less dangerous)

2: (excluding Manzanillo which is less dangerous)

3: (excluding Ixtapa, Zihuatanejo, Taxco de Alarcon which are less dangerous)

4: (excluding Monterrey which is less dangerous)

5: (excluding Mazatlan which is relatively safe)

6: (excluding the cities of Hermosillo and Guaymas/San Carlos which are less dangerous)

*The cities excluded above are still recommended that one be highly vigilant when exploring these regions.

*For more information on the exact warnings for each location, click here.

States that the UK Embassy Recommends Avoiding

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

The UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO) advises against all but essential travel to parts of 15 states. On February 22, 2026, the UK specifically updated its advisory regarding "serious security incidents" in Jalisco. The UK calls Zacatecas "extremely dangerous" and names Michoacan "one of Mexico's most violent states."

The British Embassy recommends avoiding visiting the following Northern and Western States:

• Sonora
  

• Chihuahua
  

• Coahuila
  

• Nuevo Leon
  

• Tamaulipas
  

• Sinaloa
  

• Durango
  

You should take extra precautions if traveling to the following states:

• Baja California
  

• Baja California Sur
  

The British Embassy recommends taking precautions visiting the following Eastern States:

• Tabasco
  

• Veracruz
  

The British Embassy recommends taking precautions visiting the following Western and Southern States:

• Guerrero
  

• Oaxaca
  

• Chiapas
  

• Michoacan
  

• Jalisco
  

• Nayarit
  

• Colima
  

• Zacatecas
  

*For more information on the exact warnings for each location, click here.

The Bottom Line - Is Mexico Safe in 2026?

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

Mexico is not uniformly dangerous, but it is not uniformly safe either - and the El Mencho killing has made the distinction between those two realities more dramatic than at any point in recent memory.

Mexico's safest destinations - Merida, Los Cabos, Oaxaca City - remain genuinely safe by global standards, with crime rates comparable to or lower than many U.S. and European cities. Mexico City is manageable with standard urban awareness. The Cancun Hotel Zone functions as a heavily guarded bubble that shields tourists from state-level violence.

But the events of February 22, 2026 carry three lessons that no expat or traveler should ignore:

First, geography within Mexico matters enormously. The difference between Merida (Level 1, 33 homicides per year) and Colima (the world's highest homicide rate) is the difference between Iceland and a war zone.

Second, conditions can change with terrifying speed. Puerto Vallarta went from "one of Mexico's safest cities" to a place where tourists were sheltering under beds within hours.

Third, the "cartels don't target tourists" assumption, while statistically true, means nothing when you're trapped in a hotel watching smoke billow across the bay.

The coming months will be critical. If CJNG splinters, analysts warn of potential record homicide levels as factions fight for control - potentially overlapping with the Sinaloa civil war to create Mexico's most dangerous security environment in decades. The FIFA World Cup's Guadalajara matches in June 2026 will be a global test of whether Mexico can restore order.

For now, the advice is straightforward: choose your destination with extreme care, have contingency plans, maintain comprehensive expat insurance or travel insurance, and understand that the Mexico you research today may not be the Mexico you arrive in tomorrow.

With a vigilant eye and the right preparation, millions of expats and travelers continue to have wonderful, life-changing experiences in Mexico. We know this because many of our employees at Expat Insurance have made this same choice - and we don't regret it for a second. Just go in with your eyes wide open.

Key Sources

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

U.S. State Department - Mexico Travel Advisory

Canada Travel Advisory - Mexico

UK FCDO - Mexico Travel Advice

Mexico Evalua - Security Analysis

Mexico Peace Index - Institute for Economics & Peace

INEGI - Mexico Crime Statistics

InSight Crime - Organized Crime in the Americas

El Crimen - Mexico Homicide Data

DEA Most Wanted

Secretariado Ejecutivo del Sistema Nacional de Seguridad Publica

CNDH - Comision Nacional de Derechos Humanos

Get a Free Quote for Mexico Insurance

Is Mexico Safe? - Safety in Mexico

Whether you're moving to Mexico as an expat or traveling through this beautiful country, having the right insurance is essential. The events of February 2026 are a powerful reminder that things can change fast - and you want to be covered when they do. Click here to get a free quote for expat health insurance, travel insurance, or evacuation coverage for Mexico.